This year’s Oscars are coming up, so we decided to try and analyze the nominees and determine the winners while using the capabilities of our Entertainment Genome. So, what type of movies are nominated this year and what’s history trying to tell us regarding the winners in each major category? we made a genetic analysis of the winners and nominees over the past 25 years and these are the conclusions we’ve come up with. Spoilers inside???
Best Supporting Actor
Psychological, nail-biting emotional drama which is also captivating and deals with obsession, parent and child relations, hopes and ambition. These are the genes which are popular in this category to best describe Whiplash, Foxcatcher and Birdman to some extent. While Edward Norton and Mark Ruffalo‘s performances are very good, J.K. Simmons can easily be mistaken to be the lead in Whiplash since his performance is so powerful that it seems that all the focus is on him in every scene he participates. We think that the only unforgettable performance in this category belongs to Simmons.
Our prediction: J.K. Simmons
Best Supporting Actress
Many winners here come from touching, emotional and/or sentimental dramas about hope, couple relations and family relationships (Girl, Interrupted, Dreamgirls, Les Miserables). That puts Emma Stone and Meryl Streep (who’s nominated this time just because she is Meryl Streep) out of the game. Laura Dern’s role is quite small and even unmemorable and definitely not as impressive as Patricia Arquette and Keira Knightley’s. Based on past winners here we think Arquette has an advantage over Knightley.
Our prediction: Patricia Arquette
Best Adapted Screenplay
Dominant genes from the last 25 years: gloomy, emotional, misfits, clever, suspenseful, touching, society. The differences in tone between best original screenplay and best adapted screenplay are incredible. While the first is very light in tone (at least in comparison to the other major Oscar categories), the second might be the category with the most serious tone. Don’t expect to laugh or even to smile when you check out these past winners: Schindler’s List, The Pianist, A Beautiful Mind, Brokeback Mountain and 12 Years a Slave.
Our prediction: The Imitation Game
Best Original Screenplay
Dominant genes from the last 25 years: Humorous, independent, stylized, mind and soul, clever, offbeat, comedy, introspection. Suddenly the tone got much lighter. If you want to win Best Original Screenplay you should write something funny, weird, sophisticated and a bit sad about a character who’s taking an introspective look into its own mind and soul. Here are winners that prove that point: Little Miss Sunshine, Lost in Translation and American Beauty.
Our prediction: Birdman